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      "transcript": "Good morning. Here we go. The presidential race of 2012 is about to officially begin as the voting starts here in Iowa on Tuesday. And here's how the race looks this morning with the Des Moines Register pole showing a three-way race now with Romney leading Ron Paul by two points and Rick Santorum with a late surge. We will talk to Santorum about his surprise momentum in the race in just a couple of moments. But first we have with us NBC's political director Chuck Todd and the chairman of Iowa's Republican party Matt Strahan. Welcome to both of you. Good morning. Happy New Year. Good morning. Welcome. Yes. So check Todd partner. Where are we this morning? Well, I think we're trying to figure out this is what are Iowa caucus goers going to do. What are these Republican? Are they going to come into these Cox this Tuesday night and pick a president or are they going to do what they've done in the past which is send a message in window of the field that they come in and a lot of them want to pick up president. Romney is going to win turn out. It's gonna go up you're gonna see the Casual voters show up and that's good for Rodney."
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      "transcript": "Good morning. Here we go. The presidential race of 2012 is about to officially begin as the voting starts here in Iowa on Tuesday. And here's how the race looks this morning with the Des Moines Register pole showing a three-way race now with Romney leading Ron Paul by two points and Rick Santorum with a late surge. We will talk to Santorum about his surprise momentum in the race in just a couple of moments. But first we have with us NBC's political director Chuck Todd and the chairman of Iowa's Republican party Matt Strahan. Welcome to both of you. Good morning. Happy New Year. Good morning. Welcome. Yes. So check Todd partner. Where are we this morning? Well, I think we're trying to figure out this is what are Iowa caucus goers going to do. What are these Republican? Are they going to come into these Cox this Tuesday night and pick a president or are they going to do what they've done in the past which is send a message in window of the field that they come in and a lot of them want to pick up president. Romney is going to win turn out. It's gonna go up you're going to see the Casual voters show up and that's good for Romney."
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      "transcript": " Senate I've voted for tough budgets. I voted for restrictions on spending and made sure that that didn't happen and as president. I've proposed cutting five trillion dollars over five years. I've proposed we're going to balance the budget and at least five years hopefully sooner. So if you're looking for someone who's voted for tough budgets voted for spending restraints and but that was my question. Do you regret supporting earmarks when you did I don't regret going out at the time and making sure that the people of Pennsylvania who I was elected to represent got resources back into okay, but if the budget is tighter, it's not what happened was abuse. There was abuse of this process and and I agreed with that that there wasn't abuse and it was leading to more spending. It was leading to bigger spending bills and it had to end and I supported it and releasing of America. Do you agree? That's pretty funny because Rick Perry was hiring lobbyists to fleece America then because he was hiring lobbyists to represent the state of Texas to get more money back and I suspect if you ask. Hey Hutchison, if you asked John cornyn or any of the Texas delegation with the Rick Perry"
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      "transcript": " moderation is goes beyond abortion back in 2006. You were fighting the idea that you were seeing is too conservative. You had television ads heralding the fact that you oppose reductions in the minimum wage that you were fighting Cuts against Amtrak isn't your history to try to moderate both when fighting for reelection, but also as a member of Congress to try to find common ground and to compromise, of course, my background is to find compromise. That's what you have to do in order to get things done. You don't compromise on your principles. I use well Fair reformist an example. I I went out and helped author the welfare reform bill that became the contract with America Bill and then when I was in the United States Senate, I manage that bill as a first term first year member of the United States Senate. I went up against Daniel Patrick morning and Ted Kennedy and battled over two vetoes of President Clinton was able to get it done. Did I make compromise as you bet that the compromises I made we're not fundamental to the transformation that was important."
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      "transcript": " moderation is goes beyond abortion back in 2006. You were fighting the idea that you were seeing is too conservative. You had television ads heralding the fact that you oppose reductions in the minimum wage that you were fighting Cuts against Amtrak isn't your history to try to moderate both when fighting for reelection, but also as a member of Congress to try to find common ground and to compromise, of course, my background is to find compromise. That's what you have to do in order to get things done. You don't compromise on your principles. I use well Fair reformist an example. I I went out and helped author the welfare reform bill that became the contract with America Bill and then when I was in the United States Senate, I manage that bill as a first term first year member of the United States Senate. I went up against Daniel Patrick morning and Ted Kennedy and battled over to vetoes of President Clinton was able to get it done. Did I make compromise as you bet that the compromises I made we're not fundamental to the transformation that was important to"
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      "transcript": " moderation is goes beyond abortion back in 2006. You were fighting the idea that you were seeing is too conservative. You had television ads heralding the fact that you oppose reductions in the minimum wage that you were fighting Cuts against Amtrak isn't your history to try to moderate both when fighting for reelection, but also as a member of Congress to try to find common ground and to compromise, of course, my background is to find compromise. That's what you have to do in order to get things done. You don't compromise on your principles. I use well Fair reformist an example. I I went out and helped author the welfare reform bill that became the contract with America Bill and then when I was in the United States Senate, I manage that bill as a first term first year member of the United States Senate. I went up against Daniel Patrick morning and Ted Kennedy and battled over to two vetoes of President Clinton was able to get it done. Did I make compromise as you bet that the compromises I made we're not fundamental to the transformation that was important."
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      "transcript": " moderation is goes beyond abortion back in 2006. You were fighting the idea that you were seeing is too conservative. You had television ads heralding the fact that you oppose reductions in the minimum wage that you were fighting Cuts against Amtrak isn't your history to try to moderate both when fighting for reelection, but also as a member of Congress to try to find common ground and to compromise, of course, my background is to find compromise. That's what you have to do in order to get things done. You don't compromise on your principles. I use well Fair reformist an example. I I went out and helped author the welfare reform bill that became the contract with America Bill and then when I was in the United States Senate, I manage that bill as a first term first year member of the United States Senate. I went up against Daniel Patrick morning and Ted Kennedy and battled over two vetoes of President Clinton was able to get it done. Did I make compromise as you bet that the compromises I made we're not fun to mental to the transformation that was important to"
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      "transcript": " Erin of these parts and also of the tactics of expectations sure I spoke to some Romney folks last night who actually suggested they think Santorum is going to win this thing. Are they setting us up to say? Oh what a win by Mitt Romney. Well, I think they think Centaur might win this thing. They had too easily of a life seven days ago. They had Gingrich declining and they had Ron Paul who would be very easy to beat in the full series of glaucuses. So now they've got Rick Santorum coming up fast. Well, I think the surge totally legitimate your poll shows that and consolidating that social conservative vote which in the past is always been the key to finishing at least second in the Iowa caucus. So I think they would love to beat Santorum. But if Santorum beats them, they're still in the top two and there's great clarity, which is a there's no way Romney comes out of here loser reviews in the top too. But now he knows who is opponent's going to be into New Hampshire which is not social conservative territory at all. And as they roll the the process out. So I think the Romney people would like a win. I'm not sure they need one more interesting part of that analysis is"
    }, {
      "confidence": 0.9698981,
      "transcript": " Erin of these parts and also of the tactics of expectations sure I spoke to some Romney folks last night who actually suggested they think Santorum is going to win this thing. Are they setting us up to say? Oh what a win by Mitt Romney. Well, I think they think Centaur might win this thing. They had too easily of a life seven days ago. They had Gingrich declining and they had Ron Paul who would be very easy to beat in the full series of glaucuses. So now they've got Rick Santorum coming up fast. Well, I think the surge totally legitimate your poll shows that and consolidating that social conservative vote which in the past is always been the key to finishing at least second in the Iowa caucus. So I think they would love to beat Santorum. But if Santorum beats them, they're still in the top two and there's great clarity, which is a there's no way Romney comes out of here loser reviews in the top too. But now he knows who is opponent's going to be into New Hampshire which is not social conservative territory at all. And as they roll the the process out. So I think the Romney people would like a win. I'm not sure they need one more. It's interesting part of that analysis is"
    }, {
      "confidence": 0.96576303,
      "transcript": " Erin of these parts and also of the tactics of expectations sure I spoke to some Romney folks last night who actually suggested they think Santorum is going to win this thing. Are they setting us up to say? Oh what a win by Mitt Romney. Well, I think they think Centaur might win this thing. They had too easily of a life seven days ago. They had Gingrich declining and they had Ron Paul who would be very easy to beat in the full series of glaucuses. So now they've got Rick Santorum coming up fast. Well, I think the surge totally legitimate your poll shows that and consolidating that social conservative vote which in the past is always been the key to finishing at least second in the Iowa caucus. So I think they would love to beat Santorum. But if Santorum beats them, they're still in the top two and there's great clarity, which is a there's no way Romney comes out of here loser reviews in the top too. But now he knows who is opponent's going to be into New Hampshire. She's not social conservative territory at all and as they roll the the process out. So I think the Romney people would like a win. I'm not sure they need one more. It's interesting part of that analysis is"
    }, {
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      "transcript": " Erin of these parts and also of the tactics of expectations sure I spoke to some Romney folks last night who actually suggested they think Santorum is going to win this thing. Are they setting us up to say? Oh what a win by Mitt Romney. Well, I think they think Centaur might win this thing. They had too easily of a life seven days ago. They had Gingrich declining and they had Ron Paul who would be very easy to beat in the full series of glaucuses. So now they've got Rick Santorum coming up fast. Well, I think the surge totally legitimate your poll shows that and consolidating that social conservative vote which in the past is always been the key to finishing at least second in the Iowa caucus. So I think they would love to beat Santorum. But if Santorum beats them, they're still in the top two and there's great clarity, which is a there's no way Romney comes out of here loser reviews in the top too. But now he knows who is opponents going to be into New Hampshire which is not social conservative territory at all. And as they roll the the process out. So I think the Romney people would like a win. I'm not sure they need one more. It's interesting part of that analysis."
    }, {
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      "transcript": " Erin of these parts and also of the tactics of expectations sure I spoke to some Romney folks last night who actually suggested they think Santorum is going to win this thing. Are they setting us up to say? Oh what a win by Mitt Romney. Well, I think they think Centaur might win this thing. They had too easily of a life seven days ago. They had Gingrich declining and they had Ron Paul who would be very easy to beat in the full series of glaucuses. So now they've got Rick Santorum coming up fast. Well, I think the surge totally legitimate your poll shows that and consolidating that social conservative vote which in the past is always been the key to finishing at least second in the Iowa caucus. So I think they would love to beat Santorum. But if Santorum beats them, they're still in the top two and there's great clarity, which is a there's no way Romney comes out of here loser reviews in the top too. But now he knows who is opponent's going to be into New Hampshire which is not social conservative territory at all. And as they roll the the process out. So I think the Romney people would like a win. I'm not sure they need one more interesting part of that analysis."
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      "transcript": " It could get decided in South Carolina or Florida. If not sooner. Let's look let's look at the calendar to remind people where we go as we move forward Tuesday, of course, the the Iowa caucuses New Hampshire primaries, January 10th of the following Tuesday, January 21st is South Carolina, January 31st, Florida mark, this is a busy January does this auger for it being wrapped up in January or does this become a drawn out 2008 like a fair unless someone can beat Mitt Romney in in one of the first four or two of the first four. I think it's wrapped up by the state of the union if he's cut and he shows a lot of weakness that's a different story but there's no indication of that right now if he wins New Hampshire and he wins Florida, that's some neck breaker and everybody else not impossible to win. The delegate count is later, but I think he is the commanding front-runner today after the Florida primer if he has a strong Victory how vulnerable is President Obama"
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      "transcript": " It could get decided in South Carolina or Florida. If not sooner. Let's look let's look at the calendar to remind people where we go as we move forward Tuesday, of course, the the Iowa caucuses New Hampshire primaries, January 10th of the following Tuesday, January 21st is South Carolina, January 31st, Florida mark, this is a busy January does this auger for it being wrapped up in January or does this become a drawn out 2008 like a fair unless someone can beat Mitt Romney in in one of the first four or two of the first four. I think it's wrapped up by the state of the union if he's cut and he shows a lot of weakness that's a different story but there's no indication of that right now if he wins New Hampshire and he wins Florida, that's some neck breaker and everybody else not impossible to win. The delegate count is later, but I think he is the commanding front runner the day after the Florida primer if he has a strong Victory how vulnerable is President Obama"
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      "confidence": 0.96602619,
      "transcript": " It could get decided in South Carolina or Florida. If not sooner. Let's look let's look at the calendar to remind people where we go as we move forward Tuesday, of course, the the Iowa caucuses New Hampshire primaries, January 10th of the following Tuesday, January 21st is South Carolina, January 31st, Florida mark, this is a busy January does this auger for it being wrapped up in January or does this become a drawn out 2008 like a fair unless someone can beat Mitt Romney in in one of the first four or two of the first four. I think it's wrapped up by the state of the union if he's cut and he shows a lot of weakness that's a different story but there's no indication of that right now if he wins New Hampshire and he wins Florida, that's some neck breaker and everybody else not impossible to win. The delegate count is later, but I think he is the commanding FrontRunner today after the Florida primer if he has a strong Victory how vulnerable is President Obama"
    }, {
      "confidence": 0.96731651,
      "transcript": " It could get decided in South Carolina or Florida. If not sooner. Let's look let's look at the calendar to remind people where we go as we move forward Tuesday, of course, the the Iowa caucuses New Hampshire primaries, January 10th of the following Tuesday, January 21st is South Carolina, January 31st, Florida mark, this is a busy January does this auger for it being wrapped up in January or does this become a drawn out 2008 like a fair unless someone can beat Mitt Romney in in one of the first four or two of the first four. I think it's wrapped up by the state of the union if he's cut and he shows a lot of weakness that's a different story but there's no indication of that right now if he wins New Hampshire and he wins Florida, that's some neck breaker and everybody else not impossible to win. The delegate count is later, but I think he is the commanding front-runner today after the Florida primer if he has a strong Victory how vulnerable is his President Obama"
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    }, {
      "confidence": 0.95026237,
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